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            Free, publicly-accessible full text available January 1, 2027
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            Abstract The Spatial Data Lab (SDL) project is a collaborative initiative by the Center for Geographic Analysis at Harvard University, KNIME, Future Data Lab, China Data Institute, and George Mason University. Co-sponsored by the NSF IUCRC Spatiotemporal Innovation Center, SDL aims to advance applied research in spatiotemporal studies across various domains such as business, environment, health, mobility, and more. The project focuses on developing an open-source infrastructure for data linkage, analysis, and collaboration. Key objectives include building spatiotemporal data services, a reproducible, replicable, and expandable (RRE) platform, and workflow-driven data analysis tools to support research case studies. Additionally, SDL promotes spatiotemporal data science training, cross-party collaboration, and the creation of geospatial tools that foster inclusivity, transparency, and ethical practices. Guided by an academic advisory committee of world-renowned scholars, the project is laying the foundation for a more open, effective, and robust scientific enterprise.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available December 1, 2026
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            Free, publicly-accessible full text available January 1, 2026
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            For stationary time series with regularly varying marginal distributions, an important problem is to estimate the associated tail index which characterizes the power‐law behavior of the tail distribution. For this, various results have been developed for independent data and certain types of dependent data. In this article, we consider the problem of tail index estimation under a recently proposed notion of serial tail dependence called the tail adversarial stability. Using the technique of adversarial innovation coupling and a martingale approximation scheme, we establish the consistency and central limit theorem of the tail index estimator for a general class of tail dependent time series. Based on the asymptotic normal distribution from the obtained central limit theorem, we further consider an application to cluster a large number of regularly varying time series based on their tail indices by using a robust mixture algorithm. The results are illustrated using numerical examples including Monte Carlo simulations and a real data analysis.more » « less
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            Climate change affects cryosphere-fed rivers and alters seasonal sediment dynamics, affecting cyclical fluvial material supply and year-round water-food-energy provisions to downstream communities. Here, we demonstrate seasonal sediment-transport regime shifts from the 1960s to 2000s in four cryosphere-fed rivers characterized by glacial, nival, pluvial, and mixed regimes, respectively. Spring sees a shift toward pluvial-dominated sediment transport due to less snowmelt and more erosive rainfall. Summer is characterized by intensified glacier meltwater pulses and pluvial events that exceptionally increase sediment fluxes. Our study highlights that the increases in hydroclimatic extremes and cryosphere degradation lead to amplified variability in fluvial fluxes and higher summer sediment peaks, which can threaten downstream river infrastructure safety and ecosystems and worsen glacial/pluvial floods. We further offer a monthly-scale sediment-availability-transport model that can reproduce such regime shifts and thus help facilitate sustainable reservoir operation and river management in wider cryospheric regions under future climate and hydrological change.more » « less
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            NA (Ed.)Abstract Molecular diagnostics for crop diseases can guide the precise application of pesticides, thereby reducing pesticide usage while improving crop yield, but tools are lacking. Here, we report an in-field molecular diagnostic tool that uses a cheap colorimetric paper and a smartphone, allowing multiplexed, low-cost, rapid detection of crop pathogens. Rapid nucleic acid amplification-free detection of pathogenic RNA is achieved by combining toehold-mediated strand displacement with a metal ion-mediated urease catalysis reaction. We demonstrate multiplexed detection of six wheat pathogenic fungi and an early detection of wheat stripe rust. When coupled with a microneedle for rapid nucleic acid extraction and a smartphone app for results analysis, the sample-to-result test can be completed in ~10 min in the field. Importantly, by detecting fungal RNA and mutations, the approach allows to distinguish viable and dead pathogens and to sensitively identify mutation-carrying fungicide-resistant isolates, providing fundamental information for precision crop disease management.more » « less
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